Cynthia Frelund, an NFL Network on-air predictive analytics expert does a lot of interesting things with analytics for NFL.com, including mock drafts, odds teams like the Tennessee Titans will win their matchup in a particular week and more.
We encourage you to check out her stuff any time you want which is why we wanted to talk a little bit about her newest project.
In that, she uses her win probability analytics to find out the toughest four-week stretch for every team in the league. Currently she broke down the AFC South and, in that video, she stated Tennessee’s toughest month of play.
According to her statement, these games will be the most difficult:
Week 3 @ Minnesota Vikings (44.7%-win probability)
Week 4 vs Pittsburgh Steelers (54.2%)
Week 5 vs Buffalo Bills (42.2%)
Week 6 vs Houston Texans (55.6%)
Being favored in two of the games in the “toughest stretch of the season” for the Titans is a far cry from where this team has been at any point in the last decade or more. Specifically, when you consider the fact that this is the team that has had to claw their way into the game in Week 17 in their only playoff appearances in the last decade.
It also helps that Titans will see the Steelers, Texans and Bills on their turf and in the warm weather of Nashville where these teams will feel the heat (Houston plays in a dome). Their one road game is to the dome in Minnesota that should extenuate any weather problems they might have had in years past.
If this is possible that Titan can handle this stretch early in the season then it could be huge for their playoff chances in 2020. Actually, whether it can determine whether or not Tennessee Titans gets to host a playoff game for the first time in…forever.
Speaking of playoffs, what does analytics expert Frelund’s model say about Tennessee’s chances at winning the AFC South?